Speed and pacing

    Cycling speed calculator

    Cycling speed comes from a balance of forces: air resistance, rolling resistance and gravity on the one side, your power on the other. This calculator solves that physics for you. Enter your watts, weight, gradient and riding position to get your speed and time, or enter a target speed to see the power it takes.

    Calculator
    Solve for
    W
    kg
    kg
    0 %
    km
    km/h

    Positive = headwind, negative = tailwind

    Advanced
    m
    °C
    m²

    Enter a value between 0.1 and 1 m².

    Enter a value between 0 and 0.05.

    %
    Speed
    32.4km/h
    20.1 mph
    Time for 40 km
    1:14:05
    Per km: 1:51
    Where your watts go
    81 %
    19 %
    AirRolling

    Physics model: P = (m·g·sin θ + Crr·m·g·cos θ + ½·ρ·CdA·v²)·v ÷ (1 − drivetrain loss). Estimates assume steady riding with no braking or drafting.

    How cycling speed is calculated

    When you ride at a steady speed, the power you put into the pedals equals the power needed to overcome three forces: air resistance, rolling resistance and gravity. The calculator solves that balance for you. It is part of the free LeCoach cycling calculators.

    P = (m·g·sin θ + Crr·m·g·cos θ + ½·ρ·CdA·v²) · v ÷ (1 − drivetrain loss)

    SymbolMeaningTypical value
    mTotal mass: rider, bike, kit and bottles84 kg
    gGravity9.81 m/s²
    θSlope angle, from the gradient0 % on the flat
    CrrRolling resistance coefficient of tyres and surface0.005 on training tyres
    ρAir density, from altitude and temperature1.20 kg/m³ at sea level, 20 °C
    CdADrag area: your frontal area times drag coefficient0.36 m² on the hoods
    vSpeed in metres per second
    Drivetrain lossPower lost in chain and gears2.5 %

    In "speed from power" mode, the calculator finds the speed at which this equation equals your power. In "power for a speed" mode, it fills in the speed and returns the watts.

    Worked example. A 75 kg rider on a 9 kg bike, on the hoods, on training tyres, on a flat road at sea level and 20 °C, with no wind, riding 200 W: the result is 32.4 km/h, or 1:14:05 for 40 km. Holding 30 km/h on the same road takes about 164 W.

    Where your watts go

    The calculator shows how your power splits between the three forces at your speed. That split explains almost everything about how to get faster.

    • On the flat, air resistance takes most of your power, usually 75 to 90 % above 30 km/h. Because air resistance rises with the square of speed, and the power to overcome it with the cube, going a little faster costs a lot more watts. Getting lower and narrower on the bike is often worth more than any equipment upgrade.
    • On a climb, gravity takes over. At 7 % and 13 to 14 km/h, more than 80 % of your power goes into lifting rider and bike. Here weight and W/kg decide your speed. The watts per kg calculator shows how your power-to-weight compares.
    • Rolling resistance is a smaller but constant share. Good tyres at the right pressure save more watts than most riders expect, especially at moderate speeds.

    Choosing the right inputs

    Position (CdA). The presets are typical values for an average-sized rider:

    PositionCdA (m²)
    Upright, hybrid or mountain bike0.45
    Road bike, hands on the hoods0.36
    Road bike, in the drops0.31
    Aero bars or time trial position0.24

    Taller and broader riders have a higher CdA, smaller riders a lower one. If you know your own CdA from a field test or wind tunnel, use the override in the advanced settings.

    Tyres and surface (Crr). From about 0.0035 for fast race tyres on smooth tarmac, to 0.005 for training tyres on normal roads, 0.008 on gravel and 0.012 or more off-road.

    Wind. Enter a headwind as a positive number and a tailwind as a negative one. A 15 km/h headwind on the flat slows a 200 W rider from about 32 to about 24 km/h.

    Altitude and temperature. Thinner, warmer air means less drag. At 1,000 m and 20 °C air density is about 11 % lower than at sea level. You ride faster for the same power, although your own power output drops at altitude too.

    Want this worked out for you every day? LeCoach builds your training around your own numbers.

    Try LeCoach for free

    Practical uses

    • Pacing a long event. Enter the power you can hold for the distance, typically 70 to 80 % of FTP for a gran fondo, and see your expected time on each section. Our gran fondo training plan explains how to pace by power.
    • Climb planning. Enter the gradient and length of a climb to see how long it will take at your threshold power, and what a few watts or kilos would save.
    • Equipment decisions. Compare the time saved by a lower position, faster tyres or a lighter bike, for the courses you actually ride.
    • Triathlon. Get a realistic bike speed for the triathlon pace calculator.

    Common mistakes

    • Entering average power from a ride with stops. The model assumes steady riding. Use the average while moving, or better, normalized power for a steady section.
    • Forgetting the bike and kit. Total mass includes bike, bottles, shoes and helmet, typically 8 to 11 kg on a road bike.
    • Expecting outdoor speed to match the trainer. Indoor apps use their own physics settings. Outdoor results depend on the real wind, road surface and how often you brake.
    • Ignoring drafting. In a group, riding in the wheels can cut the power needed by 25 to 40 %. The calculator is for riding alone.

    When the model is off

    The physics are well established, but the inputs are estimates. Gusty wind, rough roads, corners and braking all slow you down in ways a steady-state model cannot see. Use the calculator to compare options and plan pacing, and expect real-world speed within a few percent on smooth, steady roads, and lower on technical courses.

    LeCoach's coach can answer pacing questions from your own power data and FTP, for example what to hold on a long climb in your next event, and explain why.

    Sources

    • Martin JC, Milliken DL, Cobb JE, McFadden KL, Coggan AR. Validation of a mathematical model for road cycling power. Journal of Applied Biomechanics, 1998;14(3):276-291.
    • Debraux P, Grappe F, Manolova AV, Bertucci W. Aerodynamic drag in cycling: methods of assessment. Sports Biomechanics, 2011;10(3):197-218.
    • International Standard Atmosphere (ISO 2533:1975) for air pressure by altitude.

    Frequently asked questions

    How fast will I ride at 200 watts?

    On a flat road with no wind, a 75 kg rider on a road bike with hands on the hoods rides about 32 km/h at 200 W. In the drops it is about 34 km/h, in an aero position more. On a 5 % climb the same 200 W gives roughly 14 to 15 km/h.

    How many watts do I need to ride 30 km/h?

    For a 75 kg rider on a road bike on the hoods, on a flat road with no wind, about 160 to 170 W. Riding in the drops brings it down to about 145 W. Every rider is different, so adjust the position and weight in the calculator.

    How much faster am I if I lose 1 kg?

    On the flat, almost nothing. On a 7 % climb, losing 1 kg at the same power makes you about 1 % faster, because the bike and kit weigh the same as before. Over a 30-minute climb that is about 18 to 20 seconds. Use the calculator to test your own climbs.

    What is CdA in cycling?

    CdA is your drag area: frontal area multiplied by a drag coefficient. It describes how aerodynamic you are on the bike. Typical values run from about 0.45 m² sitting upright to 0.24 m² or less in a time trial position.

    Does tyre pressure affect speed?

    Yes, through rolling resistance. On smooth roads, harder is a little faster up to a point. On rough roads, slightly lower pressures are often faster because the tyre absorbs bumps instead of bouncing the bike. Wider modern tyres at moderate pressures are usually the best compromise.

    Why am I slower outdoors than the calculator says?

    Wind, road surface, corners, traffic and braking all cost speed, and the calculator assumes steady riding. Uneven power also costs more than steady power at the same average. Expect real rides to be a little slower than the model on all but the smoothest roads.

    What is a good average cycling speed?

    On flat roads, riding alone, beginners typically average about 15 to 20 km/h, recreational riders 20 to 25 km/h, fit club riders 25 to 30 km/h and fast or racing riders above 30 km/h. Hills, wind, traffic and stops all lower the average. The cycling time calculator shows how long a route takes at each level, climbing included.

    What watts should you hold on the day?

    Ask LeCoach what power to hold on your next climb or event, and it answers from your own power data and FTP.

    Try LeCoach for free

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